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This page displays the most recent verification of the Climate Prediction Center's Monthly Forecasts.
Official 90-day Outlooks are issued once each month near mid-month at 8:30am Eastern Time. Please consult the schedule of 30 & 90-day outlooks for exact release dates.
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION OF SST FORECASTS. The most recent International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society. plume forecast of the Niño-3.4 SST index predicts a weak and a short duration. La Niña, as indicated by the Niño-3.4 index values less than -0.5°C.
Official 90-day Outlooks are issued once each month near mid-month at 8:30am Eastern Time. Please consult the schedule of 30 & 90-day outlooks for exact release dates. OUTLOOKS
The CPC issues 6-10 Day and 8-14 Day Outlook maps showing probabilities of temperature and precipitation departing from normal, with an accompanying technical discussion. An excessive Heat Index Outlook (April-September) and Wind Chill Index Outlook (October-March) for both periods are also made every day.
Official 90-day Outlooks are issued once each month near mid-month at 8:30am Eastern Time. Please consult the schedule of 30 & 90-day outlooks for exact release dates.
Elevated odds for above-normal precipitation is forecast for the central and eastern Gulf coast, parts of the Southeast, mid-Atlantic coast and much of the Northeast.
The Weeks 3-4 Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks are based on guidance derived from a blend of dynamical model forecasts including the CFS, GEFS, ECMWF, and JMA. A statistical Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) tool which includes input from ENSO, MJO, and decadal trends was also used.
Long Lead Forecast Tools - 0.5 month 30-day.
The CPC issues the official U.S. 6 to 10 day outlooks. These outlooks illustrate the probabilities of having above, normal, and below normal temperature and precipitation for the 6 to 10 day period, respectively. The outlooks also include forecast 500 millibar heights for the 6 to 10 day period.