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This implies that in a weighted sum of variables, the variable with the largest weight will have a disproportionally large weight in the variance of the total. For example, if X and Y are uncorrelated and the weight of X is two times the weight of Y, then the weight of the variance of X will be four times the weight of the variance of Y.
This algorithm can easily be adapted to compute the variance of a finite population: simply divide by n instead of n − 1 on the last line.. Because SumSq and (Sum×Sum)/n can be very similar numbers, cancellation can lead to the precision of the result to be much less than the inherent precision of the floating-point arithmetic used to perform the computation.
In words: the variance of Y is the sum of the expected conditional variance of Y given X and the variance of the conditional expectation of Y given X. The first term captures the variation left after "using X to predict Y", while the second term captures the variation due to the mean of the prediction of Y due to the randomness of X.
Then the first, "unexplained" term on the right-hand side of the above formula is the weighted average of the variances, hσ h 2 + (1 − h)σ t 2, and the second, "explained" term is the variance of the distribution that gives μ h with probability h and gives μ t with probability 1 − h.
which is an estimate of the covariance between variable and variable . The sample mean and the sample covariance matrix are unbiased estimates of the mean and the covariance matrix of the random vector X {\displaystyle \textstyle \mathbf {X} } , a vector whose j th element ( j = 1 , … , K ) {\displaystyle (j=1,\,\ldots ,\,K)} is one of the ...
To determine the value (), note that we rotated the plane so that the line x+y = z now runs vertically with x-intercept equal to c. So c is just the distance from the origin to the line x + y = z along the perpendicular bisector, which meets the line at its nearest point to the origin, in this case ( z / 2 , z / 2 ) {\displaystyle (z/2,z/2)\,} .
Note: The conditional expected values E( X | Z) and E( Y | Z) are random variables whose values depend on the value of Z. Note that the conditional expected value of X given the event Z = z is a function of z. If we write E( X | Z = z) = g(z) then the random variable E( X | Z) is g(Z). Similar comments apply to the conditional covariance.
In the case of a time series which is stationary in the wide sense, both the means and variances are constant over time (E(X n+m) = E(X n) = μ X and var(X n+m) = var(X n) and likewise for the variable Y). In this case the cross-covariance and cross-correlation are functions of the time difference: cross-covariance