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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
November 1–2, 2008 50%: 43% 7 971 LV ±3% CBS News [6] October 31–November 2, 2008 51%: 42% 9 714 LV Not reported Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby International (Daily Tracking) [7] October 31–November 2, 2008 50.9%: 43.8% 7.1 Not reported Not reported Investor's Daily Business/TIPP (Daily Tracking) [8] October 31–November 2, 2008 47.5%: 43% 4.5 ...
After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical random sampling within 1.1 percent of the Literary Digest results.
Using his system, Lichtman has correctly predicted nine of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His first blemish came when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore in the 2000 election.
Many scientific, state-wide public opinion polls have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008, matching up Hillary Clinton against John McCain.
J. Ann Selzer's once-respected poll showed that Kamala Harris was leading in Iowa — only for Trump to win the state by more than 13 percentage points on Election Day.
As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the most recent time a Democrat carried Indiana and North Carolina in a presidential election, as well as the most recent presidential election where any candidate would win with over two-thirds of the electoral vote. McCain remains the last presidential candidate to receive fewer than 200 electoral ...
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