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  2. Confidence and prediction bands - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_prediction...

    A 95% simultaneous confidence band is a collection of confidence intervals for all values x in the domain of f(x) that is constructed to have simultaneous coverage probability 0.95. In mathematical terms, a simultaneous confidence band f ^ ( x ) ± w ( x ) {\displaystyle {\hat {f}}(x)\pm w(x)} with coverage probability 1 − α satisfies the ...

  3. 97.5th percentile point - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/97.5th_percentile_point

    The approximate value of this number is 1.96, meaning that 95% of the area under a normal curve lies within approximately 1.96 standard deviations of the mean. Because of the central limit theorem, this number is used in the construction of approximate 95% confidence intervals. Its ubiquity is due to the arbitrary but common convention of using ...

  4. Confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_interval

    A 95% confidence level does not mean that 95% of the sample data lie within the confidence interval. A 95% confidence level does not mean that there is a 95% probability of the parameter estimate from a repeat of the experiment falling within the confidence interval computed from a given experiment. [25]

  5. 68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68–95–99.7_rule

    In statistics, the 68–95–99.7 rule, also known as the empirical rule, and sometimes abbreviated 3sr, is a shorthand used to remember the percentage of values that lie within an interval estimate in a normal distribution: approximately 68%, 95%, and 99.7% of the values lie within one, two, and three standard deviations of the mean, respectively.

  6. CDF-based nonparametric confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CDF-based_nonparametric...

    Given a confidence envelope for the CDF of it is easy to derive a corresponding confidence interval for the mean of . It can be shown [ 4 ] that the CDF that maximizes the mean is the one that runs along the lower confidence envelope, L ( x ) {\displaystyle L(x)} , and the CDF that minimizes the mean is the one that runs along the upper ...

  7. Margin of error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

    For a confidence level, there is a corresponding confidence interval about the mean , that is, the interval [, +] within which values of should fall with probability . Precise values of z γ {\displaystyle z_{\gamma }} are given by the quantile function of the normal distribution (which the 68–95–99.7 rule approximates).

  8. Three-point estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three-point_estimation

    The 99.7% confidence interval for the true project work time is approximately E(project) ± 3 × SD(project) Information Systems typically uses the 95% confidence interval for all project and task estimates. [2] These confidence interval estimates assume that the data from all of the tasks combine to be approximately normal (see asymptotic ...

  9. Rule of three (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_three_(statistics)

    Comparison of the rule of three to the exact binomial one-sided confidence interval with no positive samples. In statistical analysis, the rule of three states that if a certain event did not occur in a sample with n subjects, the interval from 0 to 3/ n is a 95% confidence interval for the rate of occurrences in the population.