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  2. Time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_series

    If the answer is the time data field, then this is a time series data set candidate. If determining a unique record requires a time data field and an additional identifier which is unrelated to time (e.g. student ID, stock symbol, country code), then it is panel data candidate.

  3. Makridakis Competitions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Makridakis_Competitions

    The time series included yearly, quarterly, monthly, daily, and other time series. In order to ensure that enough data was available to develop an accurate forecasting model, minimum thresholds were set for the number of observations: 14 for yearly series, 16 for quarterly series, 48 for monthly series, and 60 for other series. [1]

  4. X-13ARIMA-SEATS - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/X-13ARIMA-SEATS

    X-13ARIMA-SEATS, successor to X-12-ARIMA and X-11, is a set of statistical methods for seasonal adjustment and other descriptive analysis of time series data that are implemented in the U.S. Census Bureau's software package. [3]

  5. Bayesian structural time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Bayesian_structural_time_series

    Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model is a statistical technique used for feature selection, time series forecasting, nowcasting, inferring causal impact and other applications. The model is designed to work with time series data. The model has also promising application in the field of analytical marketing. In particular, it can be used ...

  6. Tracking signal - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tracking_signal

    The tracking signal is then used as the value of the smoothing constant for the next forecast. The idea is that when the tracking signal is large, it suggests that the time series has undergone a shift; a larger value of the smoothing constant should be more responsive to a sudden shift in the underlying signal. [3]

  7. Variance decomposition of forecast errors - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance_decomposition_of...

    Download as PDF; Printable version; In other projects ... In econometrics and other applications of multivariate time series ... It determines how much of the ...

  8. Autoregressive integrated moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated...

    Specifically, for a wide-sense stationary time series, the mean and the variance/autocovariance are constant over time. Differencing in statistics is a transformation applied to a non-stationary time-series in order to make it stationary in the mean sense (that is, to remove the non-constant trend), but it does not affect the non-stationarity ...

  9. Exponential smoothing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_smoothing

    Exponential smoothing or exponential moving average (EMA) is a rule of thumb technique for smoothing time series data using the exponential window function. Whereas in the simple moving average the past observations are weighted equally, exponential functions are used to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time. It is an easily learned ...

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