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This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
Here are the most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election. You can use the button below to limit the display to the most recent poll in each state where at least one poll is available.
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
Select a state name to see its presidential voting history. Select the link below each chart to see all the polling detail for that state. Numbers in parentheses represent that state's electoral votes.
Through 2020, there have been 59 presidential elections. This page links to the results of those historical elections, including a larger map, results and synopsis of the race. An interactive version of each map is also available, letting you change history.
Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Here are the most recent polls for the 2020 presidential election. You can use the button below to limit the display to the most recent poll in each state where at least one poll is available. Choose a location in any row to view additional polls and the current polling average (where applicable) for that location or see these maps .
An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used. The map automatically updates three times daily. States where the margin is 4% or less are shown as Toss-up.
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.