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It included 45% tornado probability above minimum threshold of 30%. This was the only day to have a 45% tornado area in its 06Z Day 1 Outlook (although that 45% area was north of most of the tornadoes; by 20Z the 45% area had been shifted southward and covered the region that ultimately saw the most/densest tornado activity).
Areas are delineated in this forecast that have least a 15% or 30% chance of severe weather in the Day 4–8 period (equivalent to a slight risk and an enhanced risk, respectively); as forecaster confidence is not fully resolute on how severe weather will evolve more than three days out, the Day 4–8 outlook only outlines the areas in which ...
April 2018 Great Plains wildfires – Outlook included enhanced warning: "Dangerous, life-threatening fire weather conditions are likely". PDS Red Flag Warning #709 was issued for parts of New Mexico and Texas at 2005Z the day before. [227]
The latest forecast shows the potential for at least 3 inches of snow in Baton Rouge and Lake Charles, Louisiana; Hattiesburg, Mississippi; Macon, Georgia; Montgomery, Alabama and Houston, Texas.
They also began increasing the range of their forecast from 15 days to 25 days, 45 days, and (by 2016) to 90 days. These hyper-extended forecasts have been compared to actual results several times and shown to be misleading, inaccurate, and sometimes less accurate than simple predictions based on National Weather Service averages over a 30-year ...
The National Weather Service office in Houston reported broadening sleet and snow showers at 6:45 p ... Temperatures over the next few days are forecast to climb no higher than the negative teens ...
Lingering heat could be good news for folks planning trips to the beach after Labor Day weekend, but the warm weather will begin to break down as the calendar flips from September to October ...
These watches are issued by local NWS Weather Forecast Offices, not the Storm Prediction Center. Below is the first PDS flash flood watch, which was issued by the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Memphis, Tennessee, on April 24, 2011, as mentioned above. [5]