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The market outlook for 2025 sees U.S. GDP growing at a healthy rate, the stock market gains diversifying beyond the Magnificent Seven—with health care a likely winner—and an evolution in the ...
With President-elect Donald Trump heading back to the White House, top economists are weighing in on what's ahead for America's economy. Here's what the experts foresee for your wallet in 2025 ...
Polls misfired during the election campaigns of 2012, 2016, and 2020. Their collective performance four years ago was their worst since 1980. ... Polls misfired during the election campaigns of ...
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. [1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective ...
During a March 2004 interview, Trump stated: "It just seems that the economy does better under the Democrats than the Republicans." [28] [29] The Joint Economic Committee Democrats summarized and expanded the Blinder and Watson analysis in a June 2016 report, writing: "Claims that Republicans are better at managing the economy are simply not ...
When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which was enacted during president-elect Trump’s first term, is destined to expire at the end of 2025, which would bring back prior rules and generally higher ...
We estimate the probability of a win in each Senate race using publicly available polls in the HuffPost Pollster database. We use Pollster’s Bayesian Kalman filter model to simulate 100,000 populations whose voting intentions correspond to the poll results. (We sample 5,000 of those simulations in our calculations, for speed.)