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1.2 Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West 2 National poll results Toggle National poll results subsection
[1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the ...
2016 United States presidential election ← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 60.1% (1.5 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 304 [a] 227 [a] States carried 30 + ME-02 20 + DC Popular vote ...
In most states, all electors vote with the state’s popular opinion. If 51 percent of voters in California choose Hillary Clinton, all 55 of California’s electors will vote for Clinton — and none will vote for Donald Trump. (Historically, a few so-called faithless electors have voted against popular opinion. They never changed the outcome ...
The Reality of Trump vs. Harris Right Now. ... Trump and Clinton were tied at 44.3 percent, each. ... Trump’s popularity as measured by the 538 average was somewhat improved but still ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point, according to an average of dozens of national opinion polls compiled by 538, a ...
Source of aggregate poll Date updated Date polled Method Hillary Clinton: Bernie Sanders: Others / Undecided FiveThirtyEight Average [1] June 24, 2016 February 25 – June 29, 2016 Weighted 54.1%: 37.4% 8.5% HuffPost Pollster Model [2] June 24, 2016 — — 53.8%: 39.3% 6.9% RealClear Politics Average [3] June 24, 2016 May 13–June 5, 2016 ...