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2016 United States presidential election ← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 60.1% (1.5 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 304 [a] 227 [a] States carried 30 + ME-02 20 + DC Popular vote ...
They never changed the outcome of an election, so we don’t model them.) We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore, we say Clinton has a 98.0 percent chance of becoming president.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
The 2016 election was the first general election that now former President Donald Trump ran in as a major party candidate, defeating then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Trump won the ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Trump's reduced margin of victory made Georgia one of eleven states (plus the District of Columbia) to vote more Democratic in 2016 than in 2012. [4] This trend would continue into 2020 , when Trump became the first Republican to lose Georgia since 1992 , though he won it back in 2024 by a 2.2% margin.
Presidential polls in Florida. Both Clinton and Trump are campaigning hard in the crucial Sunshine State. A RealClearPolitics average of state polls, as of Oct. 11, gives Clinton a 2.7-point edge ...
Clinton won almost every pre-election poll in Minnesota by margins ranging from 5 to 11 points. Trump won one poll in November 2015, 45% to 42%, and one poll in September 2016 showed a tie. The average of the last two polls had Clinton up 50% to 41%. [22] The last poll had Clinton up 53% to 42%.