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Seats needing smallest swing to be won by Green Party of England and Wales [18] Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing required Winning party 2024 1 Bristol Central [note 5] Labour Party: 16.23% Green Party of England and Wales: 2 Isle of Wight West [note 5] Conservative Party: 19.30% Labour Party: 6 Frome and East Somerset [note 5 ...
Labour target seats [4] Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing required Winning party 2019 1 Southampton Itchen: Conservative: 0.03% Conservative: 2 Glasgow South West: SNP: 0.08% SNP: 3 Glasgow East: SNP: 0.10% SNP: 4 Arfon: Plaid Cymru: 0.16% Plaid Cymru: 5 Airdrie and Shotts: SNP: 0.26% SNP: 6 Pudsey: Conservative: 0.31% Conservative: 7 ...
Across the 12 general elections from 1992 to 2024, the site correctly predicted the party to win the most seats in all but one (1992). They also correctly predicted the outcome, that is, the party winning a majority or a hung parliament, in six elections (majorities in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2015, 2017 (by a majority of only 3), 2019, 2024; hung parliament for 2010).
The seats are ranked in order of vulnerability, based on the size of the swing needed for the challenging party to gain, starting with the smallest: – Wimbledon: 0.7 percentage point swing ...
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SNP Spokesperson for Environment, Farming, Agriculture and Rural Affairs: 2019: 2019 Frank McNally: Labour: Deidre Brock [182] Edinburgh North and Leith: SNP Spokesperson for Business: 2015: 2015 Tracy Gilbert: Labour: Alan Brown [183] Kilmarnock and Loudoun: SNP Spokesperson for Energy Security and Net Zero (2022–2023) 2015: 2015 Lillian ...
The Green Party also came second in many safe Labour seats for the first time, including most seats in central London, and every other seat in Bristol. Five independent MPs were elected in England, the highest number of independent MPs since 1945. Former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn held his seat in Islington North, after being expelled from the ...
In 2015, the SNP won 56 out of 59 seats and 50% of the popular vote. The SNP rebounded from their loss at the independence referendum at the 2015 general election eight months later, led by former Depute Leader Nicola Sturgeon. The party went from holding six seats in the House of Commons to 56, ending 51 years of dominance by the Scottish ...