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  2. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    t. e. In probability theory, conditional probability is a measure of the probability of an event occurring, given that another event (by assumption, presumption, assertion or evidence) is already known to have occurred. [1] This particular method relies on event A occurring with some sort of relationship with another event B.

  3. Law of total probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_probability

    The law of total probability is [1] a theorem that states, in its discrete case, if is a finite or countably infinite set of mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive events, then for any event. or, alternatively, [1] {\displaystyle P (A)=\sum _ {n}P (A\mid B_ {n})P (B_ {n}),} where, for any , if , then these terms are simply omitted from ...

  4. Independence (probability theory) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability...

    Probability theory. Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes. Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent[1] if, informally speaking, the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other or ...

  5. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    v. t. e. The probabilities of rolling several numbers using two dice. Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1][1][2] A simple example is ...

  6. Chain rule (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_rule_(probability)

    In probability theory, the chain rule[1] (also called the general product rule[2][3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities. This rule allows one to express a joint probability in terms of ...

  7. Birthday problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

    In probability theory, the birthday problem asks for the probability that, in a set of n randomly chosen people, at least two will share a birthday. The birthday paradox refers to the counterintuitive fact that only 23 people are needed for that probability to exceed 50%. The birthday paradox is a veridical paradox: it seems wrong at first ...

  8. Expected value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

    In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, expectation operator, mathematical expectation, mean, expectation value, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informally, the expected value is the mean of the possible values a random variable can take, weighted by the probability of those ...

  9. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    This follows from the definition of independence in probability: the probabilities of two independent events happening, given a model, is the product of the probabilities. This is particularly important when the events are from independent and identically distributed random variables, such as independent observations or sampling with ...

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