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  2. Overconfidence effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect

    One manifestation of the overconfidence effect is the tendency to overestimate one's standing on a dimension of judgment or performance. This subsection of overconfidence focuses on the certainty one feels in their own ability, performance, level of control, or chance of success.

  3. Over the past few years, misinformation and distrust in the media have become hot-button issues for Americans. As many as 3 in 4 Americans overestimate how well they can spot misinformation ...

  4. Dunning–Kruger effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect

    Some researchers include a metacognitive component in their definition. In this view, the Dunning–Kruger effect is the thesis that those who are incompetent in a given area tend to be ignorant of their incompetence, i.e., they lack the metacognitive ability to become aware of their incompetence.

  5. Hindsight bias - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias

    Hindsight bias influences the decisions of investors in the investment sector. Investors tend to be overconfident in predicting the future because we mistakenly believe that we have predicted the present in the past, so we assume that the future will follow our predictions. Overconfidence is the killer for investment returns.

  6. Overconfidence Games: Why to Be Wary of Advisers Who Are '100 ...

    www.aol.com/news/on-overconfident-advisors...

    In other words, advisers are often able to get away with being overconfident -- and wrong. As customers, it means we need to be more wary -- not less -- of advisers who present their suggestions ...

  7. New Study: Job Seekers Overconfident in Their Abilities - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/2013-10-29-new-study-job...

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  8. Kristi Noem says Republicans should not get 'overconfident ...

    www.aol.com/kristi-noem-says-republicans-not...

    Noem, who was at one point considered a contender for Trump's VP pick, said "there's a lot of Republicans getting overconfident" in the wake of the shooting. "They think Nov. 5 is in the bag, and ...

  9. The Adventure of the Yellow Face - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Adventure_of_the...

    Doyle's sympathetic treatment of interracial marriage, between an Englishwoman and a black lawyer in Atlanta, Georgia, appears extraordinarily liberal for the 1890s.. Though the story has the widow treating her dead husband's race as a secret whose revelation might entail negative reactions, the marriage is not illegal in Britain, and her second husband's loving response is reported approvingly by