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  2. Probability distribution fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution...

    When the smaller values tend to be farther away from the mean than the larger values, one has a skew distribution to the left (i.e. there is negative skewness), one may for example select the square-normal distribution (i.e. the normal distribution applied to the square of the data values), [1] the inverted (mirrored) Gumbel distribution, [1 ...

  3. Degrees of freedom (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Degrees_of_freedom_(statistics)

    the regression (not residual) degrees of freedom in linear models are "the sum of the sensitivities of the fitted values with respect to the observed response values", [11] i.e. the sum of leverage scores. One way to help to conceptualize this is to consider a simple smoothing matrix like a Gaussian blur, used to mitigate data noise. In ...

  4. Goodness of fit - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodness_of_fit

    The resulting value can be compared with a chi-square distribution to determine the goodness of fit. The chi-square distribution has ( k − c ) degrees of freedom , where k is the number of non-empty bins and c is the number of estimated parameters (including location and scale parameters and shape parameters) for the distribution plus one.

  5. Curve fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curve_fitting

    Fitting of a noisy curve by an asymmetrical peak model, with an iterative process (Gauss–Newton algorithm with variable damping factor α).Curve fitting [1] [2] is the process of constructing a curve, or mathematical function, that has the best fit to a series of data points, [3] possibly subject to constraints.

  6. Mean absolute percentage error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_absolute_percentage_error

    where A t is the actual value and F t is the forecast value. Their difference is divided by the actual value A t. The absolute value of this ratio is summed for every forecasted point in time and divided by the number of fitted points n.

  7. Projection matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projection_matrix

    A matrix, has its column space depicted as the green line. The projection of some vector onto the column space of is the vector . From the figure, it is clear that the closest point from the vector onto the column space of , is , and is one where we can draw a line orthogonal to the column space of .

  8. DFFITS - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DFFITS

    In statistics, DFFIT and DFFITS ("difference in fit(s)") are diagnostics meant to show how influential a point is in a linear regression, first proposed in 1980. [ 1 ] DFFIT is the change in the predicted value for a point, obtained when that point is left out of the regression:

  9. PRESS statistic - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PRESS_statistic

    Given this procedure, the PRESS statistic can be calculated for a number of candidate model structures for the same dataset, with the lowest values of PRESS indicating the best structures. Models that are over-parameterised ( over-fitted ) would tend to give small residuals for observations included in the model-fitting but large residuals for ...