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The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
FiveThirtyEight applied two separate models to forecast the 2016 presidential primary elections – polls-only and polls-plus models. The polls-only model relied only on polls from a particular state, while the polls-plus model was based on state polls, national polls and endorsements.
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The final batch of major national polls and swing state surveys shows the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is as ... FiveThirtyEight. Harris: 47.9% ...
The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. On average, ... Though the numbers may seem dismal, and represent a degree of ...
The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 1.4-point lead over Trump. On average, Harris was marginally ahead of Trump, but this gap has closed ...
Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [1] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [2]
RFK Jr boasts about polls numbers: 'better then DeSantis’ ... Nikki Haley has been on a steady rise, according to polls. One poll from FiveThirtyEight shows Ms Haley polling at 3.4 per cent on ...