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"The chart shows the sharp reversal in correlations between stocks and yields that occurred in December. This was the main reason stocks struggled into year end and for the first week of the year.
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Early indications suggested the U.S. Republicans looked set to take control of the House of Representatives, while the Senate results were too close to call as polls remained open in some states.
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"This chart is our way of measuring how much growth markets are pricing into current index levels. Right now, we are near post-pandemic highs. This means market expectations are high for fundamentals.
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The upper cluster has two roughly parallel curvy plots using S&P 500 Monthly $ MAXIMUM values for the upper line and $ MINIMUM values for the lower line 1/1950 to latest on chart. The upper cluster has 2 straight lines a Best Fit Upper, and Best Fit Lower, which in effect represent one line with thickness or separation, value see chart legend.
"Core PCE inflation fell surprisingly quickly in 2023, from a 4% annualized pace in the first half of the year to a 2% pace in the back half. We now expect the year-on-year rate to fall much more ...