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The likelihood-ratio test, also known as Wilks test, [2] is the oldest of the three classical approaches to hypothesis testing, together with the Lagrange multiplier test and the Wald test. [3] In fact, the latter two can be conceptualized as approximations to the likelihood-ratio test, and are asymptotically equivalent.
In mathematics, the ratio test is a test (or "criterion") for the convergence of a series =, where each term is a real or complex number and a n is nonzero when n is large. The test was first published by Jean le Rond d'Alembert and is sometimes known as d'Alembert's ratio test or as the Cauchy ratio test.
To be clear: These limitations on Wilks’ theorem do not negate any power properties of a particular likelihood ratio test. [3] The only issue is that a χ 2 {\displaystyle \chi ^{2}} distribution is sometimes a poor choice for estimating the statistical significance of the result.
The ratio estimates are asymmetrical and symmetrical tests such as the t test should not be used to generate confidence intervals. The bias is of the order O(1/n) (see big O notation) so as the sample size (n) increases, the bias will asymptotically approach 0. Therefore, the estimator is approximately unbiased for large sample sizes.
The likelihood ratio is central to likelihoodist statistics: the law of likelihood states that the degree to which data (considered as evidence) supports one parameter value versus another is measured by the likelihood ratio. In frequentist inference, the likelihood ratio is the basis for a test statistic, the so-called likelihood-ratio test.
The sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) is a specific sequential hypothesis test, developed by Abraham Wald [1] and later proven to be optimal by Wald and Jacob Wolfowitz. [2] Neyman and Pearson's 1933 result inspired Wald to reformulate it as a sequential analysis problem.
For very small samples the multinomial test for goodness of fit, and Fisher's exact test for contingency tables, or even Bayesian hypothesis selection are preferable to the G-test. [2] McDonald recommends to always use an exact test (exact test of goodness-of-fit, Fisher's exact test) if the total sample size is less than 1 000 .
When two models are nested, models can also be compared using a chi-square difference test. The chi-square difference test is computed by subtracting the likelihood ratio chi-square statistics for the two models being compared. This value is then compared to the chi-square critical value at their difference in degrees of freedom.