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  2. Hurricane likely to brew in Caribbean, may reach US - AOL

    www.aol.com/weather/next-tropical-storm-likely...

    A wide swath of 1-2 inches of rain is expected to occur across Jamaica northward into Cuba. Heavier rain of 4-8 inches can occur close to the track of the storm over western Cuba and central ...

  3. Tropical Storm Rafael forms in Caribbean, forecast to become ...

    www.aol.com/storm-tracker-system-caribbean...

    Rainfall totals from 3 to 6 inches – up to 9 inches in some places – are expected, and flooding and mudslides could occur over portions of Jamaica and Cuba, the NHC said.

  4. Disturbances in the Caribbean and Atlantic are on the ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/disturbances-caribbean-atlantic...

    Forecasters on Tuesday morning were tracking disturbances in open Atlantic Ocean waters and the Caribbean Sea. Here’s the 1 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Where is the ...

  5. Weather Prediction Center - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_Prediction_Center

    This coordination call began between the Extended Forecast Section and the Miami Hurricane Warning Office prior to 1959. [11] Within the WPC tropical program, the lead forecaster on shift, who prepares the day 1 QPF, is to provide the rainfall statement for tropical cyclones that are expected to make landfall.

  6. Tropical cyclone forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone_forecasting

    The 1-2-3 rule itself refers to the rounded long-term NHC/TPC forecast errors of 100-200-300 nautical miles at 24-48-72 hours, respectively. These numbers were close to the 10-year average for the 1982–1991-time frame. [9] However, these errors have decreased to near 50-100-150 as NHC forecasters become more accurate.

  7. Tropical system brewing in the Caribbean now is forecast to ...

    www.aol.com/tropical-system-brewing-caribbean...

    The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday that environmental conditions appear to be right for development in the Caribbean Sea. A tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week, as ...

  8. Unified Model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unified_model

    Approximately 16 km resolution with 70 vertical levels. [11] Covers the entire globe and 168 hours in the future twice a day, the shortest outlook of the synoptic scale models currently in use (most others run out at least 10 days; furthermore, the Unified Model forecasts are only available out 72 hours for non-paying users).

  9. Saba Weather - Hourly Forecasts and Local Weather Events - AOL

    www.aol.com/weather/forecast/caribbean...

    Get the Saba local weather forecast by the hour and the next 10 days.