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In a study in 1993, Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman reported that this strategy gives average returns of 1% per month for the following 3–12 months. [10] This finding has been confirmed by many other academic studies, some from the 19th century, [11] [12] [13] though momentum strategies are associated with an increased risk of crashes and major losses.
Momentum Trading: One strategy is to select investments based on their recent past performance. Stocks that had higher returns for the recent 3 to 12 months tend to continue to perform better for the next few months compared to the stocks that had lower returns for the recent 3 to 12 months. [ 5 ]
In finance, momentum is the empirically observed tendency for rising asset prices or securities return to rise further, and falling prices to keep falling. For instance, it was shown that stocks with strong past performance continue to outperform stocks with poor past performance in the next period with an average excess return of about 1% per month.
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At the beginning of 2024, gold was trading at approximately $2,043 per ounce. As of this writing, it has risen to just over $2,340 per ounce, marking a gain of greater than 14% in under six months ...
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The way momentum shows an absolute change means it shows for instance a $3 rise over 20 days, whereas ROC might show that as 0.25 for a 25% rise over the same period. One can choose between looking at a move in dollar terms, relative point terms, or proportional terms.
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