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  2. Hypergeometric distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypergeometric_distribution

    In probability theory and statistics, the hypergeometric distribution is a discrete probability distribution that describes the probability of successes (random draws for which the object drawn has a specified feature) in draws, without replacement, from a finite population of size that contains exactly objects with that feature, wherein each draw is either a success or a failure.

  3. Urn problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urn_problem

    binomial distribution: the distribution of the number of successful draws (trials), i.e. extraction of white balls, given n draws with replacement in an urn with black and white balls. [3] Hoppe urn: a Pólya urn with an additional ball called the mutator. When the mutator is drawn it is replaced along with an additional ball of an entirely new ...

  4. Negative hypergeometric distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_hypergeometric...

    Negative-hypergeometric distribution (like the hypergeometric distribution) deals with draws without replacement, so that the probability of success is different in each draw. In contrast, negative-binomial distribution (like the binomial distribution) deals with draws with replacement , so that the probability of success is the same and the ...

  5. Coupon collector's problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coupon_collector's_problem

    In probability theory, the coupon collector's problem refers to mathematical analysis of "collect all coupons and win" contests. It asks the following question: if each box of a given product (e.g., breakfast cereals) contains a coupon, and there are n different types of coupons, what is the probability that more than t boxes need to be bought ...

  6. Binomial distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution

    The binomial distribution is frequently used to model the number of successes in a sample of size n drawn with replacement from a population of size N. If the sampling is carried out without replacement, the draws are not independent and so the resulting distribution is a hypergeometric distribution, not a binomial one.

  7. Noncentral hypergeometric distributions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noncentral_hypergeometric...

    The probability that the red ball is not taken in the third draw, under the condition that it was not taken in the first two draws, is 998/1998 ≈ 1 ⁄ 2. Continuing in this way, we can calculate that the probability of not taking the red ball in n draws is approximately 2 −n as long as n is small compared to N.

  8. Pólya urn model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pólya_urn_model

    The colors of an infinite sequence of draws from this modified Pólya urn scheme follow a Chinese restaurant process. If, instead of generating a new color, we draw a random value from a given base distribution and use that value to label the ball, the labels of an infinite sequence of draws follow a Dirichlet process. [1]

  9. Bernoulli trial - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernoulli_trial

    Graphs of probability P of not observing independent events each of probability p after n Bernoulli trials vs np for various p.Three examples are shown: Blue curve: Throwing a 6-sided die 6 times gives a 33.5% chance that 6 (or any other given number) never turns up; it can be observed that as n increases, the probability of a 1/n-chance event never appearing after n tries rapidly converges to 0.