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UCERF3 is the California long-term earthquake forecast by the U.S. Geological Survey, California Geological Survey, the Southern California Earthquake Center and partners. It provides scientific estimates for the chances of having large earthquakes over the next several decades.
A new California earthquake forecast by the U.S. Geological Survey and partners revises scientific estimates for the chances of having large earthquakes over the next several decades.
Nearly all of California has a more than 95% chance of a damaging earthquake in the next century, according to a new United States Geological Survey map.
With innovations, fresh data, and lessons learned from recent earthquakes, scientists have developed a new earthquake forecast model for California, a region under constant threat from potentially damaging events.
The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3) is a comprehensive model of earthquake occurrence for California. It represents the best available science for authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and likelihood of potentially damaging earthquakes in California.
Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3‐ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence (2020, SRL) All Electronic Supplements. Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities.
The Great California ShakeOut. Great ShakeOut Earthquake Drills help people in homes, schools, and organizations worldwide improve preparedness and practice how to be safe during earthquakes. Register to participate in your state or country's drill at www.ShakeOut.org. Now is the time to prepare.
If you live in or travel to areas that could be impacted by an earthquake, preparation is vital, as these events can strike suddenly, at any time, with little warning. Visit My Hazards to see if you live or work in an area prone to earthquakes.
Earthquake Early Warning now available publicly in California, Oregon, and Washington. Have earthquake information at your fingertips, see damage reports shared by citizen scientists like you, help us build a global seismic network. MyShake delivers ShakeAlert®-powered earthquake alerts across California, Oregon, and Washington.
The California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council (CEPEC) is a committee of earthquake experts that reviews potentially credible earthquake predictions and forecasts. Its purpose is to advise the Governor of California via the California Office of Emergency Services (CalOES).. As the acting state geologist of the California Geological Survey, Tim McCrink is currently chair of CEPEC.