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High risk convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction center at 13:00 UTC on May 6. Starting April 30, the Storm Prediction Center noted that certain models, including the ECMWF, forecasted a multi-day period of high instability and supportive wind shear across the Southern and Central Plains, [10] and by May 1, a 15% risk was added across Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas. [11]
On December 5, the Storm Prediction Center issued a 5-day severe weather risk ahead of predictions that strong convective instability and wind shear would occur across portions of the Southern United States, from east Texas to western Mississippi. [11] By December 7, a slight risk was posted in a large region from Louisiana to Kentucky.
A high risk severe weather event is the greatest threat level issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for convective weather events in the United States. On the scale from one to five, a high risk is a level five; thus, high risks are issued only when forecasters at the SPC are confident of a major severe weather outbreak.
Massive storm targets East with flood threat, strong winds, snow and severe storms after spawning deadly Tennessee tornadoes Mary Gilbert, CNN Meteorologist December 10, 2023 at 3:44 PM
The Storm Prediction Center's Day 1 convective outlook for May 21, 2024, issued at 1300Z, indicating a moderate risk for severe weather over much of Iowa and nearby parts of Wisconsin, Illinois, Missouri, and southeastern Minnesota.
Nashville 7-day forecast. Monday: High near 83. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 4 p.m., then showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 4 p.m. and 5 p.m. Chance of precipitation ...
As the storm made its way into the Mid-South and toward Tennessee it was downgraded once again to a tropical depression on Thursday. The National Hurricane Center said continued weakening is forecast.
The Storm Prediction Center issues convective outlooks (AC), consisting of categorical and probabilistic forecasts describing the general threat of severe convective storms over the contiguous United States for the next six to 192 hours (Day 1 through Day 8). These outlooks are labeled and issued by day, and are issued up to five times per day.