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  2. Orders of magnitude (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orders_of_magnitude...

    2.7×10 −3: Probability of a random day of the year being your birthday (for all birthdays besides Feb. 29) 4×10 −3: Probability of being dealt a straight in poker 10 −2: Centi-(c) 1.8×10 −2: Probability of winning any prize in the UK National Lottery with one ticket in 2003 2.1×10 −2: Probability of being dealt a three of a kind ...

  3. Probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution

    A discrete probability distribution is the probability distribution of a random variable that can take on only a countable number of values [15] (almost surely) [16] which means that the probability of any event can be expressed as a (finite or countably infinite) sum: = (=), where is a countable set with () =.

  4. Exact test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exact_test

    T(y) is the value of the test statistic for an outcome y, with larger values of T representing cases which notionally represent greater departures from the null hypothesis, and where the sum ranges over all outcomes y (including the observed one) that have the same value of the test statistic obtained for the observed sample x, or a larger one.

  5. Statistical hypothesis test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_hypothesis_test

    This ensures that the hypothesis test maintains its specified false positive rate (provided that statistical assumptions are met). [35] The p-value is the probability that a test statistic which is at least as extreme as the one obtained would occur under the null hypothesis. At a significance level of 0.05, a fair coin would be expected to ...

  6. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    The graph on the right shows the probability density function of r given that 7 heads were obtained in 10 tosses. (Note: r is the probability of obtaining heads when tossing the same coin once.) Plot of the probability density f(r | H = 7, T = 3) = 1320 r 7 (1 − r) 3 with r ranging from 0 to 1

  7. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the ...

  8. Binomial test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_test

    The binomial test is useful to test hypotheses about the probability of success: : = where is a user-defined value between 0 and 1.. If in a sample of size there are successes, while we expect , the formula of the binomial distribution gives the probability of finding this value:

  9. Binomial proportion confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_proportion...

    The probability density function (PDF) for the Wilson score interval, plus PDF s at interval bounds. Tail areas are equal. Since the interval is derived by solving from the normal approximation to the binomial, the Wilson score interval ( , + ) has the property of being guaranteed to obtain the same result as the equivalent z-test or chi-squared test.

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