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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
For 2024, the deadline was December 11, which was six days before the Electoral College meets. These certificates include the names of electors and which presidential candidate they are pledged to ...
As of Nov. 1, Harris and Trump were separated by just 1.2% in nationwide polling averages compiled by 538. MORE: What you need to know about the Electoral College as 2024 race nears end
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The year 2024 was one for the history books, and 538's visual journalists and reporters were hard at work explaining the data behind the news with visualizations and interactives. From 538’s ...
Pennsylvania is considered crucial to the outcome of the race, as it boasts the most electoral votes (19) of any of the battlegrounds. The state cemented President Joe Biden’s victory in 2020 ...
The Electoral College was officially selected as the means of electing president towards the end of the Constitutional Convention, due to pressure from slave states wanting to increase their voting power, since they could count slaves as 3/5 of a person when allocating electors, and by small states who increased their power given the minimum of ...
But because of its winner-take-all nature, the Electoral College isn't a good measure of closeness. Imagine an election where one candidate wins every state and district 50.1 percent to 49.9 percent.