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Another key indicator is the Misery Index. And right now it’s leaning slightly in Harris’s favor. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor of presidential elections
The stock market is having a good year despite headwinds from sticky inflation and high interest rates. The benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has climbed 18%, notching more than three dozen ...
That means this stock market indicator has been accurate 92% of the time. Second, the S&P 500 has returned a median of 8% during Q4 following a double-digit gain in the first three quarters.
Warren Buffett is perhaps the most famous of all fundamental analysts. He uses the overall market capitalization-to-GDP ratio to indicate the relative value of the stock market in general, hence this ratio has become known as the "Buffett indicator". [2] [3] [4]
The S&P 500 has already advanced 15% in 2024, but history says the index could climb another 10% before the year ends.
The Arms Index, also known as the TRIN, is part of the galaxy of technical indicators used to measure and predict the movements of the stock market. This indicator reflects the market as a whole, and is used to predict when the overall sentiment of market participants is becoming bullish or bearish.
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