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  2. Government shutdown odds swing wildly on betting markets as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/government-shutdown-odds...

    The cryptocurrency prediction market Polymarket shows the odds of a government shutdown at more than 50%. Elon Musk and Donald Trump don’t seem too worried. Elon Musk and Donald Trump don’t ...

  3. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...

  4. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    The presidential election was a popular market, but there are plenty of others, like, will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024? (A 12% chance, per Polymarket bettors.) Or, will America ...

  5. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Polymarket, a crypto-based betting market, predicted a 70% chance President Joe Biden would drop out of the race this year as far back as July 4, two weeks before he actually bowed out. "It's an ...

  6. What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving ...

    www.aol.com/5-things-know-mystery-30-172117457.html

    The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone. A $30 million bet on Trump has raised questions about how big bettors can swing the odds.

  7. The Trump trade is back on as betting markets swing in favor ...

    www.aol.com/news/trump-trade-back-betting...

    The price of bitcoin is up 11% since Trump's odds began rising in the betting market on October 4. In recent years, Trump's warm embrace of the crypto world has turned bitcoin into a Trump trade.

  8. Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket gives Trump a 67% ...

    www.aol.com/finance/exclusive-election-betting...

    The prediction market Polymarket has skyrocketed into mainstream consciousness during the 2024 U.S. elections, with the platform reporting that users have placed $2.7 billion in bets over whether ...

  9. Election betting sites pour money into social media ads ahead

    www.aol.com/election-betting-sites-pour-money...

    In some ads for the online betting platform Polymarket, graphs illustrate former President Donald Trump’s lead as “up to 32% in the odds” over Vice President Kamala Harris, claiming the ...