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  2. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...

  3. Government shutdown odds swing wildly on betting markets as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/government-shutdown-odds...

    The cryptocurrency prediction market Polymarket shows the odds of a government shutdown at more than 50%. Elon Musk and Donald Trump don’t seem too worried. Elon Musk and Donald Trump don’t ...

  4. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win-now...

    Polymarket's site says more than $3.6 billion was spent betting on the race, though users in the US weren't legally allowed to participate. "Nothing is as salient as the presidential election ...

  5. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Polymarket, a crypto-based betting market, predicted a 70% chance President Joe Biden would drop out of the race this year as far back as July 4, two weeks before he actually bowed out. "It's an ...

  6. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    But over on the betting platform Polymarket, the odds were much more solidly in former President Donald Trump’s favor. On Monday, Trump led Vice President Kamala Harris 58% to 42% — a lead ...

  7. What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving ...

    www.aol.com/5-things-know-mystery-30-172117457.html

    The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone. A $30 million bet on Trump has raised questions about how big bettors can swing the odds.

  8. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-wagered-3-2...

    On Polymarket, which only takes bets in cryptocurrency, punters could even have put money on whether Taylor Swift would attend Vice President Kamala Harris’s rally Monday. (She went to the ...

  9. Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket gives Trump a 67% ...

    www.aol.com/finance/exclusive-election-betting...

    The prediction market Polymarket has skyrocketed into mainstream consciousness during the 2024 U.S. elections, with the platform reporting that users have placed $2.7 billion in bets over whether ...