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  2. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    Recession fears for 2025 are fading fast, with market models and economist forecasts signaling a slim chance of economic contraction. ... You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 ...

  3. A new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in a recession that started as early as March. The measure builds on the Sahm rule, using job-vacancy data in addition to unemployment data.

  4. This recession indicator is flashing red, but the ‘Sahm Rule ...

    www.aol.com/finance/accurate-recession-indicator...

    It was that rise in the unemployment rate that triggered the famed Sahm Rule, which signals the likely start of a recession when the current three-month moving average in the unemployment rate ...

  5. One chart shows why an official recession call isn't ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-one-chart-shows...

    The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.

  6. Jobs report could trigger closely watched recession indicator

    www.aol.com/finance/jobs-report-could-trigger...

    The rule has successfully predicted recessions 100% of the time since the early 1970s. If Friday's July jobs report reveals the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% during the month, the Sahm Rule would ...

  7. ‘Black Swan’ hedge funder warns a recession is coming this ...

    www.aol.com/finance/black-swan-hedge-funder...

    After predicting impending pain for years, Bank of America is no longer forecasting a U.S. recession at all this year, while JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs put the odds of recession at just 35% and 25 ...

  8. Are we in a recession or ‘vibecession’? - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-vibecession...

    How to protect your money during an economic downturn. Whether or not the country is in a recession, it’s wise to take steps to protect your finances during times of economic uncertainty.

  9. A stock correction looms as recession fears will resurface in ...

    www.aol.com/stock-correction-looms-recession...

    As economic momentum wavers next year, recession fear will trigger a market pullback. A stock market correction could be sparked by something investors aren't thinking too hard about — a ...