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  2. Why the economy might be in a 'rolling recession'

    www.aol.com/finance/why-economy-might-rolling...

    The much-anticipated recession of 2023 has yet to materialize. Some of the latest economic data point to more signs of strength than weakness. One strategist has a term for what that says about ...

  3. One chart shows why an official recession call isn't coming ...

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-one-chart-shows...

    The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.

  4. Top economist explains why she’s sticking with her recession ...

    www.aol.com/finance/top-economist-explains-why...

    To avoid a recession, the U.S. economy will need to hope two bills currently being debated in Congress—a proposed tax cut and military aid for Ukraine and Israel—get passed, says Piper Sandler ...

  5. Jobs report could trigger closely watched recession indicator

    www.aol.com/finance/jobs-report-could-trigger...

    The Sahm Rule, developed by economist Claudia Sahm, says that the US economy has entered a recession if the three-month average of the national unemployment rate has risen 0.5% or more from the ...

  6. 2021–2023 inflation surge - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021–2023_inflation_surge

    The UK entered a technical recession in the final six months of 2023. [211] [212] Germany's inflation rate reached 11.7% in October 2022, the highest level since 1951. [213] In 2023, Germany fell into recession from January to March due to persistent inflation. [214] In France, inflation reached 5.8% in May, the highest in more than three ...

  7. This recession indicator is flashing red, but the ‘Sahm Rule ...

    www.aol.com/finance/accurate-recession-indicator...

    Officials have hiked the Fed funds rate from near-zero in March 2022 to a range between 5.25% and 5.5%, where it has been for a year, in an attempt to cool the economy and slow the rise in ...

  8. Why Tomorrow Could Be a Big Day for the Stock Market - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/why-tomorrow-could-big-day...

    Here's why tomorrow could be a big day. A last look for the Fed At 8:30 a.m. on Nov. 1, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release October data for U.S. nonfarm payrolls, or the "jobs report."

  9. US consumer confidence drops unexpectedly to near-recession ...

    www.aol.com/us-consumer-confidence-drops...

    The Conference Board's Expectations Index dropped to a five-month low in December, nearing a threshold that typically signals a recession ahead. US consumer confidence drops unexpectedly to near ...