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The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.
That may be why there's a rabid interest in projecting when the next recession will come. The benefits of such a call vary. It can help, or hurt, political parties amid an election year.
According to the New York Fed's recession model, there is a 29% probability that the U.S. will enter a recession by the end of 2025. ... Image: Shutterstock "ACTIVE INVESTORS' SECRET WEAPON ...
Typically, a recession is defined by a decline in economic activity that lasts more than a few months, the NBER says. But the U.S. economy is still chugging along, with second-quarter GDP growing ...
Sky high inflation. Rising interest rates. Falling home purchases. Analysts are working to digest a host of signals about the state of the U.S. economy, which emerged from a pandemic recession ...
That data nears the threshold of 80, which typically signals a recession ahead. Some people surveyed are worried about Trump's tariff proposals increasing the cost of living.
The dynamic captures the confusing state of the U.S. economy, as the Federal Reserve aggressively fights inflation with interest rate hikes that aim to slash prices by slowing demand and risking a ...
The much-anticipated recession of 2023 has yet to materialize. Some of the latest economic data point to more signs of strength than weakness. One strategist has a term for what that says about ...