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  2. 1514 in science - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1514_in_science

    The year 1514 in science and technology included many events, some of which are listed here. Events. June 13 – Henry Grace à Dieu, at over 1,000 tons the ...

  3. Probabilistic automaton - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_automaton

    The probabilistic automaton may be defined as an extension of a nondeterministic finite automaton (,,,,), together with two probabilities: the probability of a particular state transition taking place, and with the initial state replaced by a stochastic vector giving the probability of the automaton being in a given initial state.

  4. Orders of magnitude (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orders_of_magnitude...

    1×10 −6: Life-threatening adverse reaction from a measles vaccine [13] 1.43×10 −6: Probability of the Yellowstone supervolcano erupting in a given year. 1.5×10 −6: Probability of being dealt a royal flush in poker 10 −5: 1.4×10 −5: Probability of being dealt a straight flush (other than a royal flush) in poker 1.6×10 −5

  5. Principle of maximum caliber - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_maximum_caliber

    The principle of maximum caliber (MaxCal) or maximum path entropy principle, suggested by E. T. Jaynes, [1] can be considered as a generalization of the principle of maximum entropy. It postulates that the most unbiased probability distribution of paths is the one that maximizes their Shannon entropy. This entropy of paths is sometimes called ...

  6. Reflection principle (Wiener process) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reflection_principle...

    In the theory of probability for stochastic processes, the reflection principle for a Wiener process states that if the path of a Wiener process f(t) reaches a value f(s) = a at time t = s, then the subsequent path after time s has the same distribution as the reflection of the subsequent path about the value a. [1]

  7. Maximal entropy random walk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximal_Entropy_Random_Walk

    Maximal entropy random walk (MERW) is a popular type of biased random walk on a graph, in which transition probabilities are chosen accordingly to the principle of maximum entropy, which says that the probability distribution which best represents the current state of knowledge is the one with largest entropy.

  8. Frequency of exceedance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frequency_of_exceedance

    Thus, the mean time between peaks, including the residence time or mean time before the very first peak, is the inverse of the frequency of exceedance N −1 (y max). If the number of peaks exceeding y max grows as a Poisson process, then the probability that at time t there has not yet been any peak exceeding y max is e −N(y max)t. [6] Its ...

  9. Convergence of random variables - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convergence_of_random...

    If X n converges in probability to X, and if P(| X n | ≤ b) = 1 for all n and some b, then X n converges in rth mean to X for all r ≥ 1. In other words, if X n converges in probability to X and all random variables X n are almost surely bounded above and below, then X n converges to X also in any rth mean. [10] Almost sure representation ...