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But the world’s largest economies are already there: The total fertility rate among the OECD’s 38 member countries dropped to just 1.5 children per woman in 2022 from 3.3 children in 1960.
Women in the United States are having babies less often, and the fertility rate reached a record low in 2023, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The declining fertility rate became more concerning following the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, when fertility rates dropped below 2.1 children per woman.
China has a low fertility rate compared to the United States. [8] As of 2023, China's median age has exceeded America's [144] and the Chinese population has already begun to decline since 2022. [145] China's number of people over 65 as a share of the population is predicted to exceed that of the United States by around 2035. [146]
Generally a developed country has a lower fertility rate while a less economically developed country has a higher fertility rate. For example the total fertility rate for Japan, a developed country with per capita GDP of US$32,600 in 2009, was 1.22 children born per woman. But total fertility rate in Ethiopia, with a per capita GDP of $900 in ...
Demographic dividend, as defined by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), is "the economic growth potential that can result from shifts in a population’s age structure, mainly when the share of the working-age population (15 to 64) is larger than the non-working-age share of the population (14 and younger, and 65 and older)". [1]
The findings, released Nov. 9, use data from the 2020 Census to illustrate how fertility, aging population and lower rates of migration than previously projected contribute to eventual population ...
The replacement fertility rate is 2.1 births per female for most developed countries (in the United Kingdom, for example), but can be as high as 3.5 in undeveloped countries because of higher mortality rates, especially child mortality. [11]