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Curious to know who's leading the polls? Here's when Ohio counts ballots, absentee ballot drop off, 2024 presidential election results.
The University of Akron Bliss Institute Buckeye Poll finds Trump leading Ohio. What else does it show?
As of Oct. 11, Ohio's FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Trump leading by over 7 points. Trump sits at 51.3%, while Harris closely trails behind at 43.6%. Polling averages in battleground states.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
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Since then, Ohio has been trending towards the GOP. The state nowadays is moderately to strongly Republican. Trump's 2024 statewide victory was the first double-digit win at the presidential level for Ohio since Republican George H.W. Bush's 10.85% in 1988. Ohio was the home state of Trump's running mate JD Vance.
Trump carries an edge in the Ohio polls at 51.4%, while Harris' 43.6% puts her behind by 7.8 percentage points, according to Oct. 15 polling data from FiveThirtyEight.
This was the first presidential election in which a candidate received more than 3 million votes in Ohio. Ohio is one of three states, the others being Iowa and Florida, that voted twice for Barack Obama and twice for Donald Trump. This ended Ohio's 14-election bellwether streak from 1964 to 2016.