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In probability theory, the chain rule [1] (also called the general product rule [2] [3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities.
The conditional probability can be found by the quotient of the probability of the joint intersection of events A and B, that is, (), the probability at which A and B occur together, and the probability of B: [2] [6] [7] = ().
Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent [1] if, informally speaking, the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other or, equivalently, does not affect the odds.
The probabilities of rolling several numbers using two dice. Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur.
The probability that X n = 0 occurs for infinitely many n is equivalent to the probability of the intersection of infinitely many [X n = 0] events. The intersection of infinitely many such events is a set of outcomes common to all of them. However, the sum ΣPr(X n = 0) converges to π 2 /6 ≈ 1.645 < ∞, and so the Borel–Cantelli Lemma ...
For example, it is used to equate a probability for a random variable with the Lebesgue-Stieltjes integral typically associated with computing the probability: = for all in the Borel σ-algebra on , where () is the cumulative distribution function for , defined on , while is a probability measure, defined on a σ-algebra of subsets of some ...
The probability of any tri-event is defined as the probability that it occurs divided by the probability that it either occurs or fails to occur. [3] With this convention, conditions 2 and 3 above are satisfied by the two leading tri-event CEA types. Condition 1, however, fails.
Events A and B can be assumed to be independent i.e. knowledge that A is late has minimal to no change on the probability that B will be late. However, if a third event is introduced, person A and person B live in the same neighborhood, the two events are now considered not conditionally independent.