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In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution (/ ˈ p w ɑː s ɒ n /) is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. [1]
The probability of being included in a sample during the drawing of a single sample is denoted as the first-order inclusion probability of that element (). If all first-order inclusion probabilities are equal, Poisson sampling becomes equivalent to Bernoulli sampling , which can therefore be considered to be a special case of Poisson sampling.
Related to this distribution are a number of other distributions: the displaced Poisson, the hyper-Poisson, the general Poisson binomial and the Poisson type distributions. The Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution, a two-parameter extension of the Poisson distribution with an adjustable rate of decay.
The (a,b,0) class of distributions is also known as the Panjer, [1] [2] the Poisson-type or the Katz family of distributions, [3] [4] and may be retrieved through the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution. Only the Poisson, binomial and negative binomial distributions satisfy the full form of this
A compound Poisson distribution, in which the summands have an exponential distribution, was used by Revfeim to model the distribution of the total rainfall in a day, where each day contains a Poisson-distributed number of events each of which provides an amount of rainfall which has an exponential distribution. [13]
A random sample can be thought of as a set of objects that are chosen randomly. More formally, it is "a sequence of independent, identically distributed (IID) random data points." In other words, the terms random sample and IID are synonymous. In statistics, "random sample" is the typical terminology, but in probability, it is more common to ...
In statistics, Poisson regression is a generalized linear model form of regression analysis used to model count data and contingency tables. [1] Poisson regression assumes the response variable Y has a Poisson distribution, and assumes the logarithm of its expected value can be modeled by a linear combination of unknown parameters.
Overdispersion is often encountered when fitting very simple parametric models, such as those based on the Poisson distribution. The Poisson distribution has one free parameter and does not allow for the variance to be adjusted independently of the mean. The choice of a distribution from the Poisson family is often dictated by the nature of the ...