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These are not necessarily a measure of the volatility of the respective riding results. The following tables show the margins over the various 2nd-place contenders, for which one-half of the value represents the swing needed to overturn the result. Actual seat turnovers in the 2021 election are noted for reference.
The 2021 Canadian federal election was held on September 20, 2021, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Canadian Parliament. The writs of election were issued by Governor General Mary Simon on August 15, 2021, when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested the dissolution of parliament for a snap election .
This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2019 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2021 Canadian federal election, which took place on September 20, 2021. [1] For riding-specific polls see the list of 2021 constituency polls.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau won a third term on Monday but his party fell short of a majority win.Trudeau, in power since 2015 and governing with a minority of seats since 2019, had ...
Mail-in voting is set to soar before the Sept. 20 election, with Elections Canada saying it now expects 2.3 million to 4.3 million such ballots, depending on the path of the pandemic.
Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. Given the cost associated with polling individual constituencies, polling typically occurs in constituencies that are of particular interest, such as those considered marginal or facing an impending by-election.
The latest polls by Nanos, Ekos and others show Liberal fortunes have faded as voters have grown fatigued with Trudeau, 49, who has been in power since 2015. Early Canada election call backfires ...