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  2. Manchester United F.C. 4–3 Manchester City F.C. (2009)

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manchester_United_F.C._4...

    At the Premier League 20 Seasons Awards ceremony in 2012, the match was voted the greatest in the first 20 years of the Premier League, [147] garnering 18.4% of a public vote, beating Liverpool's 43 victory over Newcastle United from 1996, [148] and has been described as the greatest and most dramatic Manchester derby ever.

  3. Statistical association football predictions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_association...

    Statistical association football predictions. Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [citation needed][dubious – discuss], who use them to set odds on ...

  4. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    Prediction interval. In statistical inference, specifically predictive inference, a prediction interval is an estimate of an interval in which a future observation will fall, with a certain probability, given what has already been observed. Prediction intervals are often used in regression analysis. A simple example is given by a six-sided die ...

  5. Expected goals - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_goals

    Expected goals. In association football, expected goals (xG) is a performance metric used to evaluate team and player performances. [1] It can be used to represent the probability of a scoring opportunity that may result in a goal. [2] It is also used in ice hockey. [3][4][5]

  6. Sports rating system - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sports_rating_system

    A sports rating system is a system that analyzes the results of sports competitions to provide ratings for each team or player. Common systems include polls of expert voters, crowdsourcing non-expert voters, betting markets, and computer systems. Ratings, or power ratings, are numerical representations of competitive strength, often directly ...

  7. Brier score - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score

    It was proposed by Glenn W. Brier in 1950. [1] The Brier score can be thought of as a cost function. More precisely, across all items in a set of N predictions, the Brier score measures the mean squared difference between: The predicted probability assigned to the possible outcomes for item i. The actual outcome.

  8. World Football Elo Ratings - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Football_Elo_Ratings

    W is the result of the game (1 for a win, 0.5 for a draw, and 0 for a loss). This also holds when a game is won or lost in extra time. If the match is decided on penalties, however, the result of the game is considered a draw (W = 0.5).

  9. Formation (association football) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Formation_(association...

    The players of both teams are arranged in 235 formation. In association football, the formation of a team refers to the position players take in relation to each other on a pitch. As association football is a fluid and fast-moving game, a player's position (with the exception of the goalkeeper) in a formation does not define their role as ...