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  2. Forecast error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forecast_error

    Michael Fish - A few hours before the Great Storm of 1987 broke, on 15 October 1987, he said during a forecast: "Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way.

  3. Variance decomposition of forecast errors - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance_decomposition_of...

    Main page; Contents; Current events; Random article; About Wikipedia; Contact us; Pages for logged out editors learn more

  4. Prognostic chart - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prognostic_chart

    Low-level prognostic charts used by aviators show the forecast between the Earth's surface and 24,000 feet (7,300 m) above sea level over the next two days. They show areas where visual flight rules are in effect, instrument flight rules are in effect, the height of the freezing level, the location of weather features, and areas of moderate to ...

  5. Mean squared prediction error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_squared_prediction_error

    This page was last edited on 15 November 2024, at 14:41 (UTC).; Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License; additional terms may apply.

  6. Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_forecasting

    Probabilistic forecasting summarizes what is known about, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at a given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius, or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different ...

  7. Misleading graph - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Misleading_graph

    The base is often e (2.71828...) or 10. For example, log scales may give a height of 1 for a value of 10 in the data and a height of 6 for a value of 1,000,000 (10 6 ) in the data. Log scales and variants are commonly used, for instance, for the volcanic explosivity index, the Richter scale for earthquakes, the magnitude of stars, and the pH of ...

  8. 2016 President Forecast - The Huffington Post

    elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president

    15.7 percentage-point Clinton lead in Illinois ±5.1 points , 19 times out of 20 We simulated 5,000 random populations whose voting intentions correspond to poll results in this state.

  9. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    Therefore, the lower limit of the prediction interval is approximately 5 ‒ (2⋅1) = 3, and the upper limit is approximately 5 + (2⋅1) = 7, thus giving a prediction interval of approximately 3 to 7. Diagram showing the cumulative distribution function for the normal distribution with mean (μ) 0 and variance (σ 2) 1.