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  2. Makridakis Competitions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Makridakis_Competitions

    The time series included yearly, quarterly, monthly, daily, and other time series. In order to ensure that enough data was available to develop an accurate forecasting model, minimum thresholds were set for the number of observations: 14 for yearly series, 16 for quarterly series, 48 for monthly series, and 60 for other series.

  3. Structural break - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Structural_break

    There are many statistical packages that can be used to find structural breaks, including R, [17] GAUSS, and Stata, among others.For example, a list of R packages for time series data is summarized at the changepoint detection section of the Time Series Analysis Task View, [18] including both classical and Bayesian methods.

  4. Time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_series

    Time series: random data plus trend, with best-fit line and different applied filters. In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time.

  5. Box–Jenkins method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Box–Jenkins_method

    The original model uses an iterative three-stage modeling approach: Model identification and model selection: making sure that the variables are stationary, identifying seasonality in the dependent series (seasonally differencing it if necessary), and using plots of the autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) functions of the dependent time series to decide which (if any ...

  6. Bayesian structural time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Bayesian_structural_time_series

    Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model is a statistical technique used for feature selection, time series forecasting, nowcasting, inferring causal impact and other applications. The model is designed to work with time series data. The model has also promising application in the field of analytical marketing. In particular, it can be used ...

  7. Unevenly spaced time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unevenly_spaced_time_series

    Ideally, unevenly spaced time series are analyzed in their unaltered form. However, most of the basic theory for time series analysis was developed at a time when limitations in computing resources favored an analysis of equally spaced data, since in this case efficient linear algebra routines can be used and many problems have an explicit ...

  8. Unit root - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unit_root

    In probability theory and statistics, a unit root is a feature of some stochastic processes (such as random walks) that can cause problems in statistical inference involving time series models. A linear stochastic process has a unit root if 1 is a root of the process's characteristic equation.

  9. Autoregressive moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_moving...

    The CRAN task view on Time Series contains links to most of these. Mathematica has a complete library of time series functions including ARMA. [11] MATLAB includes functions such as arma, ar and arx to estimate autoregressive, exogenous autoregressive and ARMAX models. See System Identification Toolbox and Econometrics Toolbox for details.