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Market conditions: Major economic events — such as interest rate changes, unemployment data, market crashes or geopolitical tensions — can impact market volatility and, consequently, implied ...
The resulting VIX index formulation provides a measure of market volatility on which expectations of further stock market volatility in the near future might be based. The current VIX index value quotes the expected annualized change in the S&P 500 index over the following 30 days, as computed from options-based theory and current options ...
Economic calendars usually have a three-scale volatility gauge. If an event has a level one volatility, it is not expected to significantly affect the markets. An event with a volatility level of two is expected to impact the markets moderately, depending on other factors (e.g. other market-moving events, political factors, news items, etc.).
The risk-free interest rate is 5%. XYZ stock is currently trading at $51.25 and the current market price of is $2.00. Using a standard Black–Scholes pricing model, the volatility implied by the market price is 18.7%, or:
The volatilities in the market for 90 days are 18% and for 180 days 16.6%. In our notation we have , = 18% and , = 16.6% (treating a year as 360 days). We want to find the forward volatility for the period starting with day 91 and ending with day 180.
Volatility is up, and the S&P 500 chalked both its best and worst day of the year this past week. And that you can have both in the span of a few days is an important market lesson.
Volatility as described here refers to the actual volatility, more specifically: . actual current volatility of a financial instrument for a specified period (for example 30 days or 90 days), based on historical prices over the specified period with the last observation the most recent price.
A volatility ETF can make it easier to profit if the stock market makes a sudden move lower or it may even help you quickly hedge a position over a short period of time.