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PredictIt is a New Zealand-based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [2] with support from Aristotle, Inc. [3] The company's office is located in Washington, D.C. [4] Only United States citizens can bet on the site.
Metaculus is a reputation-based prediction website with the ability to make numeric-range or date-range predictions, inspired by SciCast. [43] Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that uses the USDC stablecoin. PredictIt is a prediction market for political and financial events.
While polls tell you about how people responded in the recent past, the odds on sites like PredictIt and Polymarket show real-time sentiment and are better for mapping the future, according to Miller.
Miller's model centers on the "prices" posted on America's most active political betting site, PredictIT. It's a highly liquid market that trades, on average, 37,000 shares per day.
Kalshi Inc. is an American financial exchange and prediction market based in Lower Manhattan, New York City, offering event contracts.Launched in July 2021, it offers a platform where both retail and institutional traders can place trades on various future events, including economic indicators, weather patterns, awards, as well as political and legislative outcomes.
PredictIt is jointly run by Washington political consultancy Aristotle and Victoria University in Wellington, New Zealand. All of its users are registered U.S. voters. RELATED: Hillary Clinton's ...
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...
On the evening of 30 November 2016, all trading was suspended, and traders were informed through a website notice, the option of withdrawing funds remaining in their account, or donating the funds to Victoria University. [2] iPredict reported exploring the possibility of "transferring our prediction activities to be included on PredictIt in the ...