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  2. Business cycle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle

    Business cycles are not merely fluctuations in aggregate economic activity. The critical feature that distinguishes them from the commercial convulsions of earlier centuries or from the seasonal and other short term variations of our own age is that the fluctuations are widely diffused over the economy – its industry, its commercial dealings ...

  3. Real business-cycle theory - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_business-cycle_theory

    Real business-cycle theory (RBC theory) is a class of new classical macroeconomics models in which business-cycle fluctuations are accounted for by real (in contrast to nominal) shocks. [1] Unlike other leading theories of the business cycle, [ citation needed ] RBC theory sees business cycle fluctuations as the efficient response to exogenous ...

  4. Welfare cost of business cycles - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Welfare_cost_of_business_cycles

    In macroeconomics, the cost of business cycles is the decrease in social welfare, if any, caused by business cycle fluctuations.. Nobel economist Robert Lucas proposed measuring the cost of business cycles as the percentage increase in consumption that would be necessary to make a representative consumer indifferent between a smooth, non-fluctuating, consumption trend and one that is subject ...

  5. Procyclical and countercyclical variables - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Procyclical_and...

    Procyclical and countercyclical variables are variables that fluctuate in a way that is positively or negatively correlated with business cycle fluctuations in gross domestic product (GDP). The scope of the concept may differ between the context of macroeconomic theory and that of economic policy–making.

  6. History of macroeconomic thought - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_macroeconomic...

    This marked the beginning of a boom in atheoretical, statistical models of economic fluctuation (models based on cycles and trends instead of economic theory) that led to the discovery of apparently regular economic patterns like the Kuznets wave. [10] Other economists focused more on theory in their business cycle analysis.

  7. Sunspots (economics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunspots_(economics)

    'Sunspots' have been included in economic models as a way of capturing these 'extrinsic' fluctuations, in fields like asset pricing, financial crises, [3] [4] business cycles, economic growth, [5] and monetary policy. [6] Experimental economics researchers have demonstrated how sunspots could affect economic activity. [7]

  8. Austrian business cycle theory - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austrian_business_cycle_theory

    The Austrian business cycle theory (ABCT) is an economic theory developed by the Austrian School of economics seeking to explain how business cycles occur. The theory views business cycles as the consequence of excessive growth in bank credit due to artificially low interest rates set by a central bank or fractional reserve banks. [1]

  9. Economic expansion - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_expansion

    It is a period of economic growth as measured (for example) by a rise in real GDP. [1] [failed verification] [2] The explanation of fluctuations in aggregate economic activity between economic expansions and contractions ("booms" and "busts" within the "business cycle") is one of the primary concerns of macroeconomics. [3]