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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Historical average polling approval of each presidency since 1953. Polling figures are the unweighted mean of both polling averages reported by Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight. [25] [26] [27] Figures listed for President Joe Biden are current as of August 22, 2024 and will be updated through completion of the first term of his ...
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44]
Real Clear Polling average: Trump +0.5. Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +0.5. 270 to Win average: Trump +0.4. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +0.3. National ...
One notable pollster that does still use RDD is Selzer & Co., which had Vice President Kamala Harris leading President-elect Donald Trump by 3 points in its final poll of Iowa this year.
2. Check who sponsored the poll. On 538's polls page, we note not only the polling firm that conducted the poll, but also (if applicable) the sponsor who paid for it. Oftentimes, these will be ...
Polling group Date Approve Disapprove Unsure Sample size Polling method Segment polled Source(s) Gallup: February 1–20, 2024 38% 59% 3% 1,016 phone All adults [10] YouGov (for The Economist) February 4–6, 2024 42% 55% 4% 1,591 online All adults [11] Monmouth University: February 8–12, 2024 38% 58% 4% 902 telephone All adults [12]
“As far as a malicious bias influencing the outcome of a poll, I don’t see much incentive for that for the pollsters. If you look at a lot of the national polls, most of them are pretty close.