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Kamala Harris hasn't "really found a 2nd gear after Hot Brat Summer,” pollster Nate Silver said Wednesday. Top pollster finds Trump gaining momentum against Harris – with 58% chance of winning ...
Silver's projections are a departure from other election forecasts, notably from Silver’s former company FiveThirtyEight, which as of Tuesday give Harris a 61% chance of winning the Electoral ...
FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin each had Harris’s odds at 50%. Split Ticket put her at 53%. The Economist gave her a 56% chance of winning.
In early June he began to cross-post his daily "Today's Polls" updates on "The Plank" in The New Republic. [126] Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races. [127]
Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 chief Nate Silver, puts Harris’ polling average at 47.1%, 2.5 points ahead of Trump’s 44.6%, as of its latest update on Aug. 18.
Renowned election guru Nate Silver called the race for the White House a “pure toss-up” Sunday as he gave ex-President Donald Trump a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in his ...
Logo for FiveThirtyEight until 2023. Nate Silver started FiveThirtyEight in early March 2008, published under the pseudonym Poblano, the same name that he had used since November 2007 when he began publishing a diary on the political blog Daily Kos. [18] The name FiveThirtyEight derives from the 538 electors in the United States Electoral ...
However, two other polling averages, from FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, have Harris up by similarly small fractions. Pennsylvania is the biggest prize among the ...