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Aside from Fox News, Trafalgar had reported the most accurate poll in Virginia, predicting Glenn Youngkin would win by 2, which he did by 1.9. In New Jersey, Trafalgar had Phil Murphy winning the election but gave him the smallest margin of the polls, with only 4%, while Murphy won by 2.8%
The Trafalgar Group's polling numbers were mostly inaccurate in the 2022 United States midterm elections. [20] Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as Kari Lake, Mehmet Oz, Tim Michels, and Herschel Walker, would all win.
This is a list of notable polling organizations by country. All the major television networks, alone or in conjunction with the largest newspapers or magazines, in virtually every country with elections, operate their own versions of polling operations, in collaboration or independently through various applications.
Trafalgar’s Wisconsin poll of 1,086 likely voters was also conducted between Sept. 28 and 30, and it’s more of a mixed bag for Republicans, showing some Trumpers aren’t sold on Senate ...
Among individual states, the most accurate polling since 1998 has been in Colorado, Virginia and Oregon. That's exciting for close watchers of those states' politics, but it doesn't have much ...
There are 17 days remaining from Election Day. As the date is closer to arriving, more polls will come out. However, the reliability of the polls has been questioned recently.
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...
Former President Trump has a 2.2 percentage point lead over Vice President Harris in the critical swing state of Michigan, a new poll found. The survey, released Wednesday by the Trafalgar Group ...