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Any definition of expected value may be extended to define an expected value of a multidimensional random variable, i.e. a random vector X. It is defined component by component, as E[X] i = E[X i]. Similarly, one may define the expected value of a random matrix X with components X ij by E[X] ij = E[X ij].
An expectation E on an algebra A of random variables is a normalized, positive linear functional. What this means is that E[k] = k where k is a constant; E[X * X] ≥ 0 for all random variables X; E[X + Y] = E[X] + E[Y] for all random variables X and Y; and; E[kX] = kE[X] if k is a constant. One may generalize this setup, allowing the algebra ...
In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...
To determine the value (), note that we rotated the plane so that the line x+y = z now runs vertically with x-intercept equal to c. So c is just the distance from the origin to the line x + y = z along the perpendicular bisector, which meets the line at its nearest point to the origin, in this case ( z / 2 , z / 2 ) {\displaystyle (z/2,z/2)\,} .
The expected value can be thought of as a reasonable prediction of the outcomes of the random experiment (in particular, the expected value is the best constant prediction when predictions are assessed by expected squared prediction error). Thus, one interpretation of variance is that it gives the smallest possible expected squared prediction ...
Note: The conditional expected values E( X | Z) and E( Y | Z) are random variables whose values depend on the value of Z. Note that the conditional expected value of X given the event Z = z is a function of z. If we write E( X | Z = z) = g(z) then the random variable E( X | Z) is g(Z). Similar comments apply to the conditional covariance.
In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values. Stopped Brownian motion is an example of a martingale. It can model an even coin-toss ...
The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then