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  2. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    Recession fears for 2025 are fading fast, with market models and economist forecasts signaling a slim chance of economic contraction. ... You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 ...

  3. One chart shows why an official recession call isn't coming ...

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-one-chart-shows...

    The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.

  4. Why recession odds just spiked after Powell addressed ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/why-recession-odds-just...

    Today's newsletter is by Jared Blikre, a reporter focused on the markets on Yahoo Finance. Follow him on Twitter @SPYJared . Read this and more market news on the go with the Yahoo Finance App .

  5. Why the economy might be in a 'rolling recession'

    www.aol.com/finance/why-economy-might-rolling...

    The much-anticipated recession of 2023 has yet to materialize. Some of the latest economic data point to more signs of strength than weakness. One strategist has a term for what that says about ...

  6. Jobs report could trigger closely watched recession indicator

    www.aol.com/finance/jobs-report-could-trigger...

    The Sahm Rule, developed by economist Claudia Sahm, says that the US economy has entered a recession if the three-month average of the national unemployment rate has risen 0.5% or more from the ...

  7. US consumer confidence drops unexpectedly to near-recession ...

    www.aol.com/news/us-consumer-confidence-drops...

    That's close to the threshold of 80, which typically signals a recession, the Conference Board said in a press release. The data marks a steep turnaround after two months of growing consumer optimism.

  8. Top economist explains why she’s sticking with her recession ...

    www.aol.com/finance/top-economist-explains-why...

    To avoid a recession, the U.S. economy will need to hope two bills currently being debated in Congress—a proposed tax cut and military aid for Ukraine and Israel—get passed, says Piper Sandler ...

  9. Why a recession is 'not the situation we have today ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/why-recession-not-situation...

    BNP Paribas Asset Management Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris joined Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, the probability of a recession, and the resignation of UK ...