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The p-value is the probability of obtaining results as extreme as or more extreme than those observed, assuming the null hypothesis (H 0) is true. It is also called the calculated probability. It is common to confuse the p-value with the significance level (α), but, the α is a predefined threshold for calling significant results.
The posterior probability of a tree will be the probability that the tree is correct, given the prior, the data, and the correctness of the likelihood model. MCMC methods can be described in three steps: first using a stochastic mechanism a new state for the Markov chain is proposed. Secondly, the probability of this new state to be correct is ...
An elementary example of a random walk is the random walk on the integer number line which starts at 0, and at each step moves +1 or −1 with equal probability. Other examples include the path traced by a molecule as it travels in a liquid or a gas (see Brownian motion), the search path of a foraging animal, or the price of a fluctuating stock ...
Fixation rates can easily be modeled as well to see how long it takes for a gene to become fixed with varying population sizes and generations. For example, The Biology Project Genetic Drift Simulation allows to model genetic drift and see how quickly the gene for worm color goes to fixation in terms of generations for different population sizes.
Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] This number is often expressed as a percentage (%), ranging from 0% to ...
In genotyping studies where DNA is directly assayed for positions of variance (see SNP), concordance is a measure of the percentage of SNPs that are measured as identical. . Samples from the same individual or identical twins theoretically have a concordance of 100%, but due to assaying errors and somatic mutations, they are usually found in the range of 99% to 99.
Punnett squares for each combination of parents' colour vision status giving probabilities of their offsprings' status, each cell having 25% probability in theory. The Punnett square is a square diagram that is used to predict the genotypes of a particular cross or breeding experiment.
The most common formulation of a branching process is that of the Galton–Watson process.Let Z n denote the state in period n (often interpreted as the size of generation n), and let X n,i be a random variable denoting the number of direct successors of member i in period n, where X n,i are independent and identically distributed random variables over all n ∈{ 0, 1, 2, ...} and i ∈ {1 ...