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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a successful election campaign.
The system uses 13 historical factors ("keys") to predict whether the election for president of the United States will be won by the nominee of the party holding the presidency. The keys were selected based on their correlations with the presidential election results from 1860 through 1980, using statistical methods adapted from the work of ...
Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor at American University and author of "Predicting The Next President, the Keys to the White House 2012" discusses his 13 keys to a successful election ...
Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. Historian who predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections ...
He based his prediction off thirteen keys, or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party,” according to the New York Times.
More: Historian's final prediction is for Kamala Harris to win 2024 presidential election. Prediction records. ... Each key is tightly defined based on that analysis, Lichtman said. He argued that ...
Lichtman’s prediction system has correctly called almost every presidential election since 1984 — the exception being the results in 2000, according to reports.