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A moving average is commonly used with time series data to smooth out short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles. The threshold between short-term and long-term depends on the application, and the parameters of the moving average will be set accordingly.
A kernel smoother is a statistical technique to estimate a real valued function: as the weighted average of neighboring observed data. The weight is defined by the kernel, such that closer points are given higher weights. The estimated function is smooth, and the level of smoothness is set by a single parameter.
Moving average: A calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of the full data set. a smoothing technique used to make the long term trends of a time series clearer. [3] the first element of the moving average is obtained by taking the average of the initial fixed subset of the number series
Exponential smoothing or exponential moving average (EMA) is a rule of thumb technique for smoothing time series data using the exponential window function. Whereas in the simple moving average the past observations are weighted equally, exponential functions are used to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time. It is an easily learned ...
Local regression or local polynomial regression, [1] also known as moving regression, [2] is a generalization of the moving average and polynomial regression. [3] Its most common methods, initially developed for scatterplot smoothing, are LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing) and LOWESS (locally weighted scatterplot smoothing), both pronounced / ˈ l oʊ ɛ s / LOH-ess.
The "moving average filter" is a trivial example of a Savitzky–Golay filter that is commonly used with time series data to smooth out short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles. Each subset of the data set is fit with a straight horizontal line as opposed to a higher order polynomial.
The function is named in honor of von Hann, who used the three-term weighted average smoothing technique on meteorological data. [5] [2] However, the term Hanning function is also conventionally used, [6] derived from the paper in which the term hanning a signal was used to mean applying the Hann window to it.
In time series analysis, the moving-average model (MA model), also known as moving-average process, is a common approach for modeling univariate time series. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable.